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91³Ō¹Ļ

ND Expert: Predicted demise of EU rings true with Greece’s recent financial woes

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rosato

In the midst of Greece’s first financial collapse that shook the European Union one year ago, University of 91³Ō¹Ļ Political Scientist predicted then that the financial crisis was only a symptom of a much deeper issue.

In his recent book ā€œ,ā€ Rosato warns of a troubled future for the entire European Union (EU).

ā€œThe Europeans failed to build a military to challenge the United States, despite lofty rhetoric to the contrary,ā€ says Rosato. ā€œThey failed to pass a constitution. And they have been slowly eviscerating the single market and single currency.ā€

ā€œSimply put,ā€ he says, ā€œthe European Community’s best days are long gone—and there is worse to come.ā€

Fast forward to June 2011: Greece is once again on the brink of financial collapse, citizens are rioting against austerity measures, and Prime Minister Papandreou is considering resignation.

ā€œCrises like the one in Greece are virtually inevitable given the structure of the EU,ā€ Rosato says. ā€œIndeed, most economists agree that the only way to avert further crises is for the Europeans to create a European super state. If Europe looked more like the United States of America, then events like the Greek crisis would not arise.ā€

ā€œThe problem is that there is no appetite for building a super state in Europe,ā€ Rosato says, because the big driver of union—the Soviet Union—died 20 years ago.

ā€œIn retrospect, the failure to build a European military force, the failed constitution and the fraying of the economic union are all evidence that no one wants to build a ā€˜United States of Europe’.ā€

What this means is that ā€œthere are going to be more crises, perhaps in larger economies like Italy, Spain and Portugal down the road,ā€ Rosato explains. ā€œThe EU may survive the Greek crisis, but when one of the bigger economies runs into trouble all bets are off.ā€

Media advisory: Professor Rosato’s comments may be used in whole or in part. He can be reached at 574-631-0378 or srosato@nd.edu